Assessing Temporally Variable User Properties With Dynamic Bayesian Networks

نویسندگان

  • W. Wahlster
  • Ralph Schäfer
  • Thomas Weyrath
  • Anthony Jameson
  • Cécile Paris
چکیده

Bayesian networks have been successfully applied to the assessment of user properties which remain unchanged during a session. However, many properties of a person vary over time, thus raising new questions of network modeling. In this paperwe characterize different types of dependencies that occur in networks that deal with the modeling of temporally variable user properties. We show how existing techniques of applying dynamic probabilistic networks can be adapted for the task of modeling the dependencies in dynamic Bayesiannetworks. We illustrate the proposed techniquesusing examplesof emergency calls to the fire departmentof the city of Saarbrücken.The fire departmentofficers are experienced in dealing with emergency calls from callers whose available working memory capacity is temporarily limited. We develop a model which reconstructs the officers' assessments of a caller's working memory capacity.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Models and Model Biases for Automatically Learning Task Switching Behavior

Machine learning techniques have been applied to several kinds of human data including speech recognition and goal or user identification. When learning on such data, it is important to use models that are not strongly biased against properties of the data, or the variable assignments learned may be largely incorrect. We are working with data sources for user interface event data and examining ...

متن کامل

Learning Bayesian Networks With Hidden Variables for User Modeling

The goal of the research summarized here is to develop methods for learning Bayesian networks on the basis of empirical data, focusing on issues that are especially important in the context of user modeling. These issues include the treatment of theoretically interpretable hidden variables, ways of learning partial networks and combining them into one single compound network, and ways of taking...

متن کامل

A Structurally and Temporally Extended Bayesian Belief Network Model: Definitions, Properties, and Modeling Techniques

We developed the language of Modifiable Temporal Belief Networks (MTBNs) as a structural and temporal extension of Bayesian Belief Networks (BNs) to facilitate normative temporal and causal modeling under uncertainty. In this paper we present definitions of the model, its components, and its fundamental properties. We also discuss how to represent various types of temporal knowledge, with an em...

متن کامل

Bayesian Quantile Regression with Adaptive Lasso Penalty for Dynamic Panel Data

‎Dynamic panel data models include the important part of medicine‎, ‎social and economic studies‎. ‎Existence of the lagged dependent variable as an explanatory variable is a sensible trait of these models‎. ‎The estimation problem of these models arises from the correlation between the lagged depended variable and the current disturbance‎. ‎Recently‎, ‎quantile regression to analyze dynamic pa...

متن کامل

Time-Varying Dynamic Bayesian Networks

Directed graphical models such as Bayesian networks are a favored formalism for modeling the dependency structures in complex multivariate systems such as those encountered in biology and neural science. When a system is undergoing dynamic transformation, temporally rewiring networks are needed for capturing the dynamic causal influences between covariates. In this paper, we propose time-varyin...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1997